Accounting Scandal: accountant reveals new carbon source
2002-04-11
The international accounting firm Farther Slanderson today announced the
discovery of 500 million tons of carbon. The element -- in the form of
carbon dioxide -- was found emerging from rivers in South America's
Amazon Basin. "We found the stuff bottled up in the waters of the
Amazon River," said I. Shade Greene, head bean-counter at the
venerable firm. "We had no way of knowing that climatologists
around the world had been searching for this stuff. It just looked like
a whiff of gas coming from swamps and rivers. Who knew it would
unbalance their ledger books?"
Coming on the heels of the Enron-Arthur Anderson debacle, the
"discovery" raised new questions about the once-trusted
accounting profession. And while no investors stand to lose gig-a-bucks,
and nobody is being accused of erasing hard drives, the news will not
make life easier for the quarrelsome crew who keep the balance-books on
Earth's climate.
(Okay, we admit it: Greene and the whole Farther Slanderson shtick is a
concoction of febrile-brained Why Filers. Still, the search for missing
carbon is a key to resolving the debate over global warming caused by
carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases.)
Exactly how much of the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide is siphoned from
the atmosphere each year by various biological and geological processes?
Unlike the value of Enron stock, this carbon does not vaporize. Instead,
it sloshes around the planet in the so-called carbon cycle.
Eventually, carbon is returned to the atmosphere, which contains roughly
750 gigatons (billion tons) of the stuff, in the form of carbon dioxide.
But the delay time can be weeks (about as long as it took Enron to crash
and burn) -- or millions of years.
About 5 gigatons of carbon enters the atmosphere each year from burning
fossil fuels, deforestation and other human causes. Some of that is
incorporated into vegetation, dissolved in the ocean, or solidified into
sedimentary rock. A key question is how long the carbon stays bound up
before returning to the atmosphere.
Budgetary imbalance
In recent years, some scientists have argued that large amounts of
carbon dioxide get trapped in vegetation, especially wood. They looked
at forests -- both temperate and tropical -- as one of the biggest
so-called "sinks."
But the world is a big place, and there are plenty of questions about
how much carbon should actually be listed on the account books of
Earth's various habitats. To document the movement of carbon dioxide,
Jeffrey Richey, a professor of oceanography at the University of
Washington, and colleagues took 1,800 samples in the Central Amazon
basin, a huge potential sink for atmospheric carbon.
Richey and colleagues worked in this oft-flooded section of the central
Amazon basin. Courtesy Jeffrey Richey.
To assess carbon-dioxide outgassing from the many rivers and wetlands in
the Amazon heartland, the researchers trapped gas in floating shelters.
They also measured the partial pressure of carbon dioxide in air and
water. The so-called "gas laws" (written when accountants were
still counting on their fingers, for all we know) tell us that partial
pressures determines the movement of gases between adjacent fluids.
Gases flow from fluids with higher partial pressures to fluids with
lower partial pressures.
Because the partial pressure of carbon dioxide in Amazonian surface
waters often exceeds its pressure in the air, the gas is forced from the
water.
But none of these measurements would have been worth much without data
from the Japanese Earth Resources Satellite. The high-performance radar
on JERS allowed estimates of the area of various types of habitat in the
oft-flooded region.
Different habitats, after all, can be expected to emit different levels
of carbon dioxide.
When the researchers crunched the numbers, they discovered that about
half a billion tons of carbon, in the form of carbon dioxide, was
emerging from the rivers and wetlands. Globally, the humid tropics would
be contributing 900 million tons, the authors wrote.
The most likely source of the carbon, says Richey, is upland vegetation
that was washed into the rivers and is decomposing on its way
downstream.
Budgetary blues
The new finding conflicts with studies that, based on carbon dioxide
measurements in air above tropical forests, indicated that trees were
storing a great deal of carbon. But, as Richey notes, that conclusion
meant the trees would have to grow awfully fast. "The argument that
the humid tropics were going to be a big sink meant that the trees were
doubling in biomass every few decades," he says. "That's not
possible."
Data from James Kasting
The finding also alters the global "carbon budget," an
assessment of how the element is moving around the Earth. The
atmospheric section of this abacus-level accounting says simply:
Carbon in - carbon out = change in carbon content
If Richey's measurements hold water, the Amazon, far from being a huge
carbon sink, actually has a neutral carbon budget. That change helps
balance the global carbon budget, which had previously been looking
almost as screwy as Enron's accounting books.
One last item on the positive side of the ledger: Climatology and carbon
budgeting may be confusing, but at least nobody has shredded the
files...
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Outgassing from Amazonian Rivers and Wetlands... Jeffrey Richey
et al, Nature, 11 April 2002, pp. 617-20; see also commentary, pp.
594-5.
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