Charlotte Laws
July 2006
There are streams of alerts from environmental experts
who tell us natural disasters are on the rise. They warn of climatic change
and tell us the world's species die at a rate 1000 times greater than they
did prior to human existence due to habitat destruction and the introduction
of non-indigenous species into the ecosystem. Their conclusion? If we do not
reverse the damaging trend, Earth itself will be extinct.
Should we open our minds to doomsday predictions? And if we accept them,
what is the next step to insure or increase our chance of planetary
survival?
In his book, Our Final Hour, Cambridge professor and Britain’s
“Astronomer Royal” Martin Rees predicts humanity has no more than a 50/50
chance of survival into the next century and that by 2020 a million people
will perish due to scientific error or terror. Some would call him
prescient, while others would interpret his words as alarmist, resembling a
layer cake with environmental fears on top of nuclear fears on top of
chemical and biological threats, ad infinitum. With a sci-fi flare, he warns
of runaway technology, human clones and an ability to insert memory chips
into the brain.
Doomsday predictors get much the same respect as the “toxic fumes” sign at
the local service station; they impart their wisdom, yet we yawn. Situations
which seem grim and overwhelming, even potentially lethal, tend to be
ignored. Attention on more immediate and “American” concerns, such as
consumer goods and personal advancement, monopolize our daily thoughts. This
is arguably foolhardy and indicative of the “another doomsday, another
dollar” mentality.
Rees is not a lone voice on the scientific stage. The “Bulletin of Atomic
Scientists” reports we have seven minutes until our final bow at midnight.
Other reputable experts surmise that a “gray goo” or nanotechnological
catastrophe poses the greatest threat. This involves the invention of
miniature, self-replicating machines that gnaw away at the environment until
it is devoid of life. It need not be deliberate sabotage—as in technological
warfare by one nation against another--but could result from a laboratory
mishap.
Astronomers speak of fugitive asteroids that could destroy major sections of
our planet within the next 30 years. Others point to atom-crashing tests and
their potential for a lethal strangelet scenario. Strangelets are malformed
subatomic matter, which could distort all normal matter and dissolve the
earth in seconds.
There are streams of alerts from environmental experts who tell us natural
disasters are on the rise. They warn of climatic change and tell us the
world's species die at a rate 1000 times greater than they did prior to
human existence due to habitat destruction and the introduction of
non-indigenous species into the ecosystem. Their conclusion? If we do not
reverse the damaging trend, Earth itself will be extinct.
Should we open our minds to doomsday predictions? And if we accept them,
what is the next step to insure or increase our chance of planetary
survival?
In his book, Science, Money and Politics, Daniel Greenberg follows a trail
of suspicion. He condemns what he believes to be the self-serving, greedy
scientific community with its bungled research, conflicts of interest and
findings that never see the light of day due to suppression by corporate
sponsors. But this seems to be an overly cynical, embellished perspective;
there are surely many scientists dedicated to discovery and social
responsibility, apart from any personal gain. And we should not forget that
offering controversial insights can be at a cost; proponents of “radical”
theories often expose themselves to public and professional ridicule.
Regardless of skepticism, the “Pascal’s Wager” game plan seems a good bet.
This essentially means we should not gamble with eternity, but instead urge
the scientific community to take precautions since Armageddon allows no
second chance. Better to err on the side of life, even if it means some
black holes will go unexplored and some research grants will be pulled.
Precaution means building contingency plans--such as shields and containment
measures--into emerging technologies so that if an experiment goes awry, a
safety net will kick into place. It means the scientific community should
better police itself. It means committees or boards—both local and
international—should be established for oversight and regulations, much like
Albert Einstein proposed in 1947 to maintain worldwide peace. Many
nation-states and multinational corporations are known for fighting even
minimal efforts to regulate dangerous technology, and they must be
countered.
There are pragmatic hurdles to be negotiated when trying to impose rules on
private parties or on authorities in renegade lands, but the ozone hole
“near disaster” demonstrates how the world can cooperate when it comes to
life-and-death matters. As cultures dovetail, as communications rise, as
borders become more porous, and as the world figuratively shrinks, it will
be easier to impose structure and scientific parameters on nations that seem
combative today
Science must shift its course and find new mountains to climb. It looks to
us for cues. Due to our materialistic bent as a culture, our cursory
endorsement of “progress” and our captivation with the Prometheus-like aura
of technology, we subtly ask the scientific community to scale those
mountains that are the highest (great accolades can be received), the
easiest (the path of least resistance) or the most profitable (grant money
from special interests or an emphasis on reducing labor so companies can
realize greater profits) rather than those that are the most ecological and
peace-enhancing. The research community has rivers of creativity and forests
of energy that could instead be directed towards rivers and forests. It
could move towards ecological preservation and restoration, peaceful
alternatives to conflict and a furthering of life on this planet.
We will know a cultural transition is underway when news reports following
fires, earthquakes and other disasters address the impact on natural systems
and nonhuman species, rather than just the human and economical
consequences, such as the number of homes lost. Our capitalistic culture
thrives on the fact that nature is cost-free, which in turn, reinforces the
notion that it is expendable and devoid of value. This reality must change.
Our reality must change. And science must change. It must shift towards
peace and ecology. It’s as plain as doomsday.
Charlotte Laws is a Councilmember in Valley Glen, California, a syndicated columnist and the President of the League for Earth and Animal Protection (LEAP). Her political website is www.CharlotteLaws.org
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